{"id":2164,"date":"2022-03-15T12:50:00","date_gmt":"2022-03-15T04:50:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/jeffooi.com\/?p=2164"},"modified":"2022-03-24T12:59:27","modified_gmt":"2022-03-24T04:59:27","slug":"%e6%9f%94%e9%80%89%e4%b8%be%ef%bc%9a%e7%bb%99%e5%a4%9a-7-%e5%a4%a9%e5%b0%b1%e8%83%bd%e6%89%ad%e8%bd%ac%e4%b9%be%e5%9d%a4%ef%bc%9f","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/jeffooi.com\/?p=2164","title":{"rendered":"\u67d4\u9009\u4e3e\uff1a\u7ed9\u591a 7 \u5929\u5c31\u80fd\u626d\u8f6c\u4e7e\u5764\uff1f"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u62a5\u300a\u6446\u6e21\u4eba\u7684\u6b4c\u300b\u4e13\u680f\u7b2c 43 \u7bc7\u2026<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u67d4\u5dde\u9009\u4e3e\u5c18\u57c3\u843d\u5b9a\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u7cbe\u795e\u4e0b\u5404\u515a\u5fc5\u987b\u63a5\u53d7\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u88c1\u51b3\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u653f\u5ba2\u9a6c\u540e\u70ae\u53ea\u662f\u81ea\u723d\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u6539\u53d8\u65e2\u5b9a\u7684\u4e8b\u5b9e\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<!--more-->\n\n\n\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e2a\u4e8b\u5b9e\uff0c\u5c31\u662f\u6211\u56fd\u5949\u884c\u9886\u5148\u8005\u5f53\u9009<em>\uff08First Past the Post\uff0cFPTP\uff09<\/em>\u7684\u7b80\u5355\u591a\u6570\u7968\u5236\u5ea6\uff0c\u603b\u5f97\u7968\u5e76\u4e0d\u80fd\u786e\u4fdd\u5e2d\u4f4d\u80dc\u9009\u591a\u5be1\uff0c\u8bf4\u6765\u6b8b\u9177\u65e0\u60c5\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u67d4\u5dde\u9009\u6295\u7968\u7387\u53ea\u8fbe 54.92%\uff0c\u6bd4\u8d77 2018 \u5e74\u5927\u9009\u65f6\u7684 74.5% \u662f\u4f4e\u4e86 19.58%\u3002\u4f46\u8fd9\u6b21\u6295\u7968\u56e0\u5b9e\u884c\u81ea\u52a8\u9009\u6c11\u767b\u8bb0\uff0c\u51fa\u5e2d\u6295\u7968\u7684\u9009\u6c11\u4eba\u6570\u5171\u8fbe 142 \u4e07 6573 \u4eba\uff0c\u6bd4\u8d77 2018 \u53c2\u4e0e\u6295\u7968\u4eba\u6570 137 \u4e07 7637 \u4eba\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u662f\u589e\u52a0\u4e86 3.55%\u3002\u8fd9\u70b9\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u8d25\u9635\u8005\u90fd\u4e0d\u80fd\u72e1\u8fa9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u67d4\u5dde\u8bae\u4f1a 56 \u4e2a\u8bae\u5e2d\uff0c\u4e09\u5927\u9635\u8425\u4e2d\uff0c\u56fd\u9635\u4ee5 59 \u4e07 9753 \u7968\uff08\u6216 43.11%\uff09\u603b\u5f97\u7968\u593a\u51a0\u3001\u56fd\u76df\u603b\u5f97\u7968 33 \u4e07 4457 \u7968\uff0824.04%\uff09\u6392\u4f4d\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u5e0c\u76df\u603b\u5f97\u7968 28 \u4e07 4969 \u7968\uff0820.48%\uff09\u6392\u540d\u7b2c\u4e09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4f46\u5728\u5e2d\u4f4d\u8f93\u8d62\u5b9a\u6c5f\u5c71\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u56fd\u9635\u5219\u72c2\u80dc 40 \u5e2d\uff0871.43%\uff09\u3001\u5e0c\u76df\u53ea\u5f97 12 \u5e2d\uff0821.43%\uff09\u3001\u56fd\u76df 3 \u5e2d\uff085.36%\uff09\u3001\u5e0c\u76df\u6218\u53cb\u4e4b\u5927\u9a6c\u6c11\u4e3b\u8054\u5408\u9635\u7ebf\uff08MUDA\uff09\u5219\u5f97 1 \u5e2d (1.79%)\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u56fd\u9635\u8d62\u5f97 40 \u5e2d\u610f\u5373\u83b7\u5f97\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e09\u5206\u4e4b\u4e8c\u4f18\u52bf\u6267\u653f\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u5deb\u7edf\u8d62\u5f97 33 \u5e2d\u3001\u9a6c\u534e 4 \u5e2d\u3001\u56fd\u5927\u515a 3 \u5e2d\uff0c\u5dde\u884c\u653f\u8bae\u4f1a\u5e94\u8be5\u6709\u6570\u540d\u975e\u5deb\u88d4\u6210\u5458\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5e0c\u76df \u201c\u5927\u5e10\u7bf7\u201d \u53ea\u8d62 13 \u5e2d\uff0c\u5206\u4e3a\u884c\u52a8\u515a 10 \u5e2d\uff0c\u516c\u6b63\u515a\u3001\u8bda\u4fe1\u515a\u53ca MUDA \u5404 1 \u3002\u81f3\u4e8e\u56fd\u76df\u7684 3 \u5e2d\uff0c\u662f\u6765\u81ea\u571f\u56e2\u515a 2 \u5e2d\u53ca\u4f0a\u65af\u5170\u515a 1 \u5e2d\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5176\u5b9e\uff0c\u5e0c\u76df\u65e9\u5df2\u8c8c\u5408\u795e\u79bb\uff0c\u516c\u6b63\u515a\u9009\u62e9\u5355\u98de\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u81ea\u8eab\u515a\u5fbd\u53c2\u9009\uff0c\u83b7\u5f97 8 \u4e07 2556 \u7968\uff085.93%\uff09\uff0c\u800c MUDA \u9996\u6b21\u53c2\u9009\u5219\u83b7\u5f97 4 \u4e07 8072 \u7968\uff083.46%\uff09\uff0c\u867d\u7136\u5404\u81ea\u8d62\u5f971\u5e2d\uff0c\u4f46\u8bc4\u4ef7\u5374\u6709\u5929\u6e0a\u4e4b\u522b\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u884c\u52a8\u515a\u4e0d\u7b49\u516c\u6b63\u515a\u7a0d\u606f\u517b\u4f24\uff0c\u9a6c\u4e0a\u9886\u5934\u516c\u5f00\u558a\u8bdd\uff0c\u6279\u8bc4\u5b89\u534e\u5355\u72ec\u4f7f\u7528\u84dd\u773c\u6807\u5fd7\uff0c\u53ea\u987e\u81ea\u5df1\u515a\u7684\u5229\u76ca\uff0c\u6ca1\u6709\u987e\u53ca\u5e0c\u76df\u6574\u4f53\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u53ca\u65f6\u68c0\u8ba8\u5e76\u52a0\u4ee5\u7ea0\u6b63\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5e0c\u76df\u5171\u4e3b\u5b89\u534e\u88ab\u706b\u7bad\u5f53\u4f17\u595a\u843d\uff0c\u81f3\u4eca\u867d\u65e0\u53cd\u5e94\u4f46\u51b7\u6696\u81ea\u77e5\uff0c\u5bf9\u84dd\u773c\u65e5\u540e\u53bb\u7559\u5e0c\u76df\u7684\u6289\u62e9\uff0c\u663e\u7136\u4e0d\u4f1a\u6ca1\u6709\u611f\u53d7\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u56de\u987e 2018 \u5e74\u5168\u56fd\u5927\u9009\u67d4\u4f5b\u7bc7\uff0c\u5e0c\u76df\u5f53\u65f6\u4ecd\u6709\u571f\u56e2\u515a\u6491\u8170\uff0c56 \u5e2d\u4e2d\u8d62\u5f97 36 \u5e2d\uff0864.29%\uff09\uff0c\u53cd\u89c2\u56fd\u9635\u53ea\u8d62\u5f97 19 \u5e2d\uff0833.93%\uff09\u3001\u4f0a\u515a 1 \u5e2d\uff081.79%\uff09\uff0c\u52bf\u529b\u60ac\u6b8a\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u56fd\u9635\u996e\u6068\u6c99\u573a\u77ed\u77ed\u56db\u5e74\uff0c\u8fd9\u6b21\u5dde\u9009\u7adf\u7136\u80fd\u591f\u626d\u8f6c\u4e7e\u5764\uff0c\u96be\u514d\u8981\u95ee\uff1a\u9009\u7968\u662f\u5426\u5f00\u59cb\u56de\u6d41\u56fd\u9635\u4e86\uff1f\u5e0c\u76df\u7109\u4f55\u4f1a\u5728\u540c\u4e2a\u65f6\u6bb5\uff0c\u7ee7\u7eed\u4e00\u7b79\u83ab\u5c55\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6b64\u523b\uff0c\u6211\u4eec\u4ecd\u8fd8\u7b49\u5f85\u6295\u7968\u7ad9\u5404\u6e20\u9053\u7968\u7bb1\u8be6\u7ec6\u6570\u636e<em> (Borang 14) <\/em>\u7684\u5206\u6790\u51fa\u7089\uff0c\u4f46\u9690\u7ea6\u53ef\u4ece\u6570\u9879\u6298\u5c04\u7387\u770b\u5230\u7aef\u502a\u3002\u8fd9\u4e9b\u6298\u5c04\u7387\uff0c\u662f\u5305\u62ec\u5404\u515a\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u3001\u5e2d\u4f4d\u5f97\u5931\u3001\u79cd\u65cf\u6295\u7968\u8d70\u5411\u53ca\u6295\u7968\u7387\u6a21\u5f0f\u3001\u4ee5\u53ca\u5404\u8bae\u5e2d\u6295\u7968\u7387\u6240\u91ca\u653e\u7684\u4fe1\u606f\u3002\u5148\u4e3e\u51fa\u4e24\u9879\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e00\u3001\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u4e0d\u662f\u56fd\u9635\u52bf\u529b\u81a8\u80c0\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u53cd\u5bf9\u515a\u81ea\u6211\u5f0f\u5fae\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6574\u4f53\u4e0a\uff0c\u67d4\u5dde\u9009\u5deb\u7edf\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u53ea\u589e 3.6%\u3001\u9a6c\u534e\u589e\u52a0 1.6% \u53ca\u56fd\u5927\u515a\u7a0d\u589e 0.4%\uff0c\u770b\u6765\u4e0d\u50cf\u5a92\u4f53\u6240\u8c13\u56fd\u9635\u5df2\u4ece \u201c\u9006\u6d41\u6d77\u5578\u201d \u5f97\u76ca\u7684\u73b0\u8c61\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u521d\u6b65\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5deb\u7edf\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u662f\u4ece 2018 \u5e74\u5927\u9009\u7684 25.7% \u8dc3\u81f3 2022 \u5e74\u5dde\u9009\u7684 29.3%\u3001\u9a6c\u534e\u4ece 9.6% \u589e\u81f3 11.2%\u3001\u56fd\u5927\u515a\u4ece 2.3% \u53ea\u589e\u81f3 2.7%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6781\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\uff0c\u9a6c\u534e\u6210\u529f\u7834\u96f6\u3001\u56fd\u5927\u515a\u6dfb\u589e\u5e2d\u4f4d\uff0c\u5deb\u7edf\u624d\u80fd\u95f4\u63a5\u53d6\u83b7\u975e\u5deb\u88d4\u9009\u7968\u6240\u4e88\u7684\u77ed\u6682\u5f02\u5f69\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5bf9\u6bd4\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u5e0c\u76df\u677f\u5757\u4e2d\u884c\u52a8\u515a\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u5219\u4ece 2018 \u5e74\u5927\u9009\u53d6\u83b7\u7684 20.7% \u8dcc\u81f3 12.8%\uff08\u8dcc\u5e45 7.9%\uff09\u3001\u8bda\u4fe1\u515a\u4ece 10.7% \u8dcc\u81f3 7.5%\uff08\u8d1f 3.2%\uff09\u3001\u516c\u6b63\u515a\u5219\u4ece 7.6% \u8dcc\u81f3 6.0%\uff08\u8d1f 1.6%\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u4e0d\u5f97\u4e0d\u63d0\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u884c\u52a8\u515a\u5f3a\u533a\u51fa\u73b0\u591a\u6570\u7968\u4e00\u843d\u5343\u4e08\uff0cN42 \u67d4\u4f5b\u518d\u4e5f\u591a\u6570\u7968\u4ece 2018 \u5e74\u7684 15965 \u7968\u8dcc\u81f3 1922 \u7968\uff08\u8dcc\u5e45 8.31 \u500d\uff09\u3001N46 \u67cf\u5cad\u591a\u6570\u7968\u4ece 19533 \u8dcc\u81f3 3347\uff08\u8dcc\u5e45 5.84\u500d\uff09\u3001N48 \u58eb\u59d1\u6765\u4ece 35126 \u591a\u6570\u7968\u8dcc\u81f3 13943\uff08\u8dcc\u5e45 2.52 \u500d\uff09\uff0c\u73b0\u5728\u5e94\u662f\u4e00\u53f6\u77e5\u79cb\u5427\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u4e8c\u3001\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u8de8\u79cd\u65cf\u7684\u9009\u7968\u6447\u6446\u3002<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u5404\u6e90\u6d41\u7968\u7bb1\u8be6\u7ec6\u6570\u636e\u51fa\u7089\u4e4b\u524d\uff0c\u5927\u4f53\u4e0a\u53ef\u5bdf\u89c9\u5230\u5e0c\u76df\u9762\u5bf9\u5404\u65cf\u9009\u6c11\u6d41\u5931\u7684\u7a77\u5883\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6839\u636e\u9a7b\u9a6c\u5916\u56fd\u5b66\u8005 Bridget Welsh \u535a\u58eb\u7684\u521d\u6b65\u6f14\u7b97\uff0c\u5e0c\u76df\u6d41\u5931\u9a6c\u6765\u7968\u7bb1\u7ea6 20%\u3001\u5370\u88d4\u7968\u7bb1\u6d41\u5931 18%\u3001\u201c\u5176\u4ed6\u201d \u79cd\u65cf\uff08\u5305\u62ec\u7802\u6c99\u4fa8\u6c11\uff09\u5219\u6d41\u5931\u7ea6 14%\u3001\u534e\u88d4\u9009\u7968\u5219\u6d41\u5931 10%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u56fd\u9635\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u663e\u793a\u5370\u88d4\u7968\u7bb1\u589e\u52a0 8%\u3001\u9a6c\u6765\u7968\u7bb1\u65e0\u5565\u8d77\u843d\uff0c\u53cd\u800c\u662f\u534e\u88d4\u7968\u7bb1\u4e0b\u8dcc 2%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u610f\u5916\u7684\u662f\uff0c\u571f\u56e2\u515a\u4e3b\u5bfc\u7684\u56fd\u76df\uff0c\u7adf\u5728\u9a6c\u6765\u7968\u7bb1\u8d62\u5f97\u7ea6 33% \u7684\u589e\u957f\u7387\uff0c\u6b64\u5916\u3002\u5370\u88d4\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u589e\u52a0 8%\u3001\u534e\u88d4\u5f97\u7968\u7387\u589e\u52a0 6%\u3001\u201c\u5176\u4ed6\u201d \u79cd\u65cf\u5219\u589e\u52a0 17%\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u603b\u7684\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u67d4\u5dde\u5e0c\u76df\u662f\u5728\u8de8\u79cd\u65cf\u7968\u7bb1\u5168\u90fd\u6d41\u5931\u652f\u6301\u7387\u3002\u8fd9\u7eaf\u7cb9\u662f\u5b89\u534e\u9886\u5bfc\u51fa\u95ee\u9898\u6240\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5417\uff1f\u53cd\u8fc7\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u5e0c\u76df\u4e09\u5927\u6210\u5458\uff0c\u515a\u7a76\u7adf\u8c01\u662f\u62d6\u7d2f\u6574\u4f53\u7684\u9b41\u9996\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u770b\uff01\u884c\u52a8\u515a\u80dc\u9009\u6570\u91cf\u4ece 14 \u5e2d\u8dcc\u81f3 10 \u5e2d\u3001\u8bda\u4fe1\u515a\u4ece 9 \u5e2d\u8dcc\u5269 1 \u5e2d\u3001\u516c\u6b63\u515a\u4ece 5 \u5e2d\u4e5f\u8dcc\u52691\u5e2d\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5e0c\u76df \u201c\u4e00\u4e2a\u9635\u8425\u4e24\u9762\u65d7\u201d \u6240\u95ef\u7684\u7978\u5417\uff1f\u8fd8\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5c11\u7ed9\u6797\u8001\u591a 7 \u5929\u7684\u7ade\u9009\u671f\u6240\u8bef\uff1f<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6709\u4eba\u8bf4\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u9009\u6c11\u4ecd\u5bf9\u5e0c\u76df 22 \u6708\u6267\u653f\u8bb0\u5f55\u7f3a\u4e4f\u4fe1\u5fc3\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u7ade\u9009\u671f\u95f4\u6709\u4eba\u5929\u5973\u6563\u82b1\u5f0f\u56db\u5904\u5927\u6492\u5956\u52b1\u91d1\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p><strong>\u539f\u8f7d\uff1a\u4e2d\u56fd\u62a5\uff5c\u4eba\u4eba\u5496\u5561\u5e97\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<div class=\"mh-excerpt\"><p>\u4e2d\u56fd\u62a5\u300a\u6446\u6e21\u4eba\u7684\u6b4c\u300b\u4e13\u680f\u7b2c 43 \u7bc7\u2026 \u67d4\u5dde\u9009\u4e3e\u5c18\u57c3\u843d\u5b9a\uff0c\u6c11\u4e3b\u7cbe\u795e\u4e0b\u5404\u515a\u5fc5\u987b\u63a5\u53d7\u9009\u6c11\u7684\u88c1\u51b3\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u653f\u5ba2\u9a6c\u540e\u70ae\u53ea\u662f\u81ea\u723d\uff0c\u4e0d\u80fd\u6539\u53d8\u65e2\u5b9a\u7684\u4e8b\u5b9e\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":2165,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[5],"tags":[50],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"https:\/\/jeffooi.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2022\/03\/Screenshot-2022-03-24-at-12.50.37-PM-2.png","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffooi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2164"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffooi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffooi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffooi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffooi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=2164"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/jeffooi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2164\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2166,"href":"https:\/\/jeffooi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2164\/revisions\/2166"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffooi.com\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/media\/2165"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/jeffooi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=2164"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffooi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=2164"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/jeffooi.com\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=2164"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}